IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week was a very important event, where participants of currency and stock markets were expecting for quite some time - the US presidential election. Since the preliminary surveys indicated a possible victory of the candidate from the Democratic Party of Hillary Clinton, the US dollar was feeling quite well in many pairs, including pairing with the EUR, British pound, Japanese yen. According to many of analysts, Clinton's presidency did not implied the major changes in foreign policy, and in relation to the United States economy.

Thus the news about the probable victory of the Republican candidate Donald Trump has plunged the markets into a real shock, and their reaction was the large-scale sale of "risky" assets, including the US dollar and stock indices. As a consequence of the sales dollar fell against the yen to 101.20 of support area, the euro rose against him to the area of 13th figure, and the pound - up to resistance of 1.2546. This market reaction in the case of Trump's victory was quite expected, so further development was a complete surprise.

A surprise for many, but not for us, because we have warned that the situation can be changed dramatically at any moment, that exactly what happened. Subsequently, the dollar was bought out, and the yen actively sold off, as a result the dollar/yen exchange rate rose by the end of the week to the area of 107th figure, the euro ended the week by falling to 1.0830. Turn and widespread increase in the dollar can be considered as the development of the next wave of the upward trend, but it can be sensitive to the FRS's comments and, of course, of the new US President, so IAFT traders on the dollar can not lose vigilance, as this can lead to greater losses. LinkList

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Published last week macroeconomic statistics for Germany and the Eurozone in general was quite good, although it was not enough for euro to be able to develop a recovery against the US dollar after falling last week. All his attempts were limited by resistance in the area of 1.0940, which kept the downside risks at least until 1.0800. But in the last hours, remaining until the end of the trading week, he still was able to break through the resistance and rise up to the level of 1.0992. However, larger scale euro recovery at this point seems unlikely.

Bulls on the British pound, the last week did not give the slightest reason to improve mood. Due to the continuing pressure its attempts to restore in the pair with the US dollar were limited by theresistance in the area of 1.2260. The only positive thing for the pound - is the ability to keep from falling below the 21st figure, the probability of testing of bears the psychological level of 1.2000 remains high. The British faces losses in the pairs with a number of its competitors, and to expect a sharp change of mood of investors is not worth it.

The US dollar was in demand in tandem with the Japanese yen, which allowed him to continue to rise against it and test resistance at 105.53. The intention of the FBI to investigate the case about the e-mails before the elections, as was announced on Friday, has provoked sell-off of dollar, that has allowed the euro and the yen to win back some of the losses incurred earlier. However, its decline was mainly due to profit-taking on long positions and talking about a trend reversal is not necessary. But it should be noted that the current week is rich on events which, like the US presidential elections, can make adjustments to the current situation, about what should not be forgotten by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week took place the meeting of the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England, the results of which could affect the dynamics of the Swiss franc and the British pound, respectively. As generally expected, none of the central banks did not make any changes in its monetary policy, so the market reaction to the events was insignificant and short-lived. Previously published data on consumer inflation in the UK fell short of the predicted values, which had a moderate pressure on the British currency.

Despite the inaction of Bank of England at the last meeting, as well as good data on the UK labor market, market expectations about the central bank lowering the interest rate at the next meeting remain high. Thus by the end of the week the pound has undergone to another wave of sales, as a result it has completed the week down against the US dollar in the area of the psychological level of 1.3000. Results of the week make it possible to keep a negative outlook on the pound, it can improve a steady growth above 1.3445.

The Japanese yen continued to be in demand during the last week, but on the eve of the meeting of the Bank of Japan, which will be held this week, the bears on dollar/yen did not have the resoluteness to break through support at 101.80-101.60. Opinions of analysts on the results of the meeting were divided: some do not expect any action from the Central Bank, while others rely on the further expansion of stimulus measures. The outlook on the yen remains positive, but the market reaction to any outcome of the meeting may be its selling, so before the event is better to refrain from opening the strategic positions in the yen. The same applies to the results of the FRS meeting and the dollar's reaction to them, that should be considered by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

The main event of the last week was the meeting of the European Central Bank. In the current situation with the economy of the Eurozone expectations of any actions on the further weakening by the central bank of monetary policy was very low, so the euro against US dollar most of the week was trading with a positive attitude, testing and breaking the resistance in the area of the 12th figure and at the level of 1.1260 then, continue to grow, it rose to the resistance in the area of 1.1326.

According to the results of the meeting the Central Bank has decided to keep the interest rate, as well as the size and timing of asset purchases. The market's reaction at first was the purchase of a single currency, but its growth to above resistance was used to take profit, against which it has returned to the area of the 12th figure. Overall, the pair is in the long-term consolidation phase, and while it is trading above 1.1200, the chances of growth towards the upper border of the range will remain. The loss of this level will increase the risks of testing and breaking of 1.1000.

Due to lower expectations of US FRS increasing the interest rates at the next meeting and a weak ISM index in the services sector, the US dollar at first declined against the Japanese yen, testing the support at 101.20. On the eve of the next meeting of the Bank of Japan, bears decided to take profits on short positions, triggering recovery of the pair to 103.05. About improvement of its prospects, however, there is nothing to say, because in the conditions of falling stock indexes further recovery of the dollar/yen is associated with certain difficulties. While the pair trades below 104th figure, risks of falling at least to the level of 100.00 will remain high, what should be considered by IAFT traders. BloglLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week has not been rich in significant events and related to it movements in the currency market. After the comments from the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen and Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, in which they pointed out the possibility of increasing of interest rate, the US dollar enjoyed moderate demand. On this background the euro/dollar has been under pressure, and the dollar/yen, gradually moving up, got to the area of the 104th figure, which can be referred to significant levels. But in anticipation of the publication of the US labor market data, of large-scale purchases of the dollar were not.

Published last week by US macroeconomic statistics in general was mixed. The consumer confidence index for August exceeded analysts' forecasts, which had a modest support to the dollar. Report on employment in the private sector by ADP came out within the forecast and the previous values, without putting thus almost no impact on the greenback. Disappointed on it the bulls the publication of the ISM index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of, which was below the level of 50.0, provoking a slight dollar sales.

The key event of the week was the publication on employment and unemployment in the US data that could strengthen expectations of increase by the FRS the interest rate at the nearest meeting and possibly on the next. However, published data showed that the economy was able to add 151 thousand of jobs, instead of the expected 185 thousand, and the unemployment was at 4.9% instead of the forecast 4.8%. The first reaction was a fall of the dollar, but soon he was bought out, which allowed him to finish the week near the current highs. However, after a relatively weak data to expect too much optimism on the dollar bulls are hardly will, at the same time they also can not be considered as a good reason for active selling of US currency. It is possible that this week's market activity will remain low, we recommend IAFT traders to patience. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week was published a number of statistical data for Germany and the Eurozone. According to these data, business activity in the manufacturing and services sector remains high, but the growth rate of the German economy could not impress the participants of the currency market. In general, their activity remained very low, so any interesting movements in the market was not observed. The key event of the week the speech of FRS Chairman of Janet Yellenwas scheduled for Friday, in anticipation of which no one was in a hurry to open new positions.

In anticipation of the event, the euro gradually decreased against the US dollar. As a result, it has tested support around 1.1245, the pair retraced back to the area of the 13th figure. Meanwhile, the dollar is under pressure from the Japanese yen, but to break through support at the psychological level of 100.00 the bears have failed. British pound on the background of profit-taking on short positions moved higher and tested the resistance at 1.3273.

In his speech, Janet Yellen said about the relevance of the issue to increase the interest rate, but then made it clear that the pace of further tightening of monetary policy will be moderate. Besides, she gave a fairly restrained prognosis in terms of growth of the US economy, and in no way clarified the question of the timing of rate increase. Thus, the dollar initially was growing, then fell, but its drop was used for purchases, which allowed it to finish the week higher against the main competitors. This week, the demand for it continues, the euro, the yen and the pound may continue to fall, at the same time the volatility is still low, which should be considered by IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Pretty boring in terms of movements turned out to be the last week. The main events were the announcement of the results of the meeting of the Committee on Monetary Policy of the Bank of England and the publication of the US labor market data. In anticipation of these events, the US dollar faced pressure from its main competitors, against which the euro has tested resistance at 1.1233, the pound resistance of - 1.3372, and the yen support of — 100.68. Overall, volatility on the currency market remained relatively low, despite a number of important events that have occurred in the recent past, among which are the exit of Great Britain from the EU.

According to the expectations of market participants, the Bank of England decided to lower the interest rate by 0.25%, as well as to expand the volume of asset purchases. At the same time the central bank made a regular decrease of rate by the end of this year and lowered its forecast for the growth rate of the UK economy. As a result, the pound has undergone to sale, collapsed against the US dollar to support in the area of 1.3020. Weekly closing took place slightly above this level, and the continued interest on the sale of a rebound indicates the further risk decline. Long-term prospects for the pound remain negative.

Posted on Wednesday a report on employment in the US private sector from ADP has slightly exceeded the predicted value, but to impress the bulls on the dollar he failed. So from Friday's data on employment in the agricultural sector is not expected any surprises, so the released index at the level of 255 thousand of jobs against the forecasted of 180 thousand. Was a pleasant surprise for them, on what the dollar reacted by rising against major competitors. As a result, the euro/dollar fell to 1.1046, and the dollar/yen rose to 102.06. This week, the dollar can keep a positive attitude, but market activity may remain low, which should be considered by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

The most anticipated events of the last week was the meeting of the two central banks - the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan. In anticipation of these events, the currency market was in a very sleepy state, against what the major currency pairs traded mostly in the range. Euro pairing with the USD tested the resistance at 1.1029 and then stood for a while near the psychological level of 1.1000. The British pound also tried to movebut its recovery against the dollar was limited by resistance of 1.3248. Brexit and expectations of the Bank of England to reduce the interest rate will not let him to develop of a more large-scale correction.

The Japanese yen traded in different directions. At first, it grew against the dollar, but after testing support in the area of the 104th figure rose to 106.54. Comments of Japanese prime minister have raised expectations of expansion by the Bank of Japan of stimulus measures that put pressure on the yen. Following the results of the meeting, the Bank of Japan increased volume purchase program ETF, but left the interest rate and the monthly volumes of quantitative easing unchanged.Thus, his actions were not as radical as market participants were expecting, that returned appetite for purchases of the yen. As a result, it has completed the week higher against many of its competitors, and its prospects now look more constructive.

Federal Committee Operations on the US FRS open market decided to leave interest rate unchanged. Overall, this decision was expected, but in his comments, despite the cautious optimism regarding the prospects for the US economy, the FRS has made it clear that the rush with the rate increase is still not, on what, the markets reacted by the moderate sales are of the US dollar.On this background the euro in tandem with it closed the week at the resistance area of 1.1180, and this in somewat improves the technical perspective. However, the fundamentals do not give a good reason for purchases of the single currency, so a significant increase over the 12th figure seems unlikely, that should be considered by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Termination of the UK's membership in the European Union and the consequences of this event are temporarily took a back seat, as investors' attention has shifted to a possible extension by the Bank of Japan of stimulating measures. Thus the British pound held next another week is holding on from further decline against the US dollar, trading above the psychological level of 1.3000. Published data on the labor market of the United Kingdom have shown employment growth and falling unemployment rate, which was able to support it, but it did not contribute to the growth of above 33rd figure. Bears can again test the level of 1.3000.

Expectations of action by the Japanese central bank forced investors to get rid of long positions in the yen, against which it was trading mostly with a negative attitude in tandem with the US dollar and in the crosses with other currencies. As a result of growth against the yen, dollar reached resistance in the area of 107.50, which, along with the break of a number of levels allows us to speak about situation improvement in the pair. However, the Bank of Japan may again disappoint bears on the yen, refraining from any actions, that may well bring her back into the mainstream of the uptrend.

Last week, was held a meeting of the European Central Bank. Its decision to leave the interest rate and the volume of asset purchases unchanged was expected, so any special reaction to the event was not followed. President of the bank of Mario Draghi at the press conference is also did not give a reason for the active sales or purchases of the euro, which in tandem with the dollar continued to trade after the event within the psychological level of 1.1000. But, under the influence of other factors, the euro on Friday broke through this level and finished the week down to support of 1.0955. Its prospects remain negative, the next bears can test the support of 08 th figure, that should be considered by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England were condacted the meetings on monetary policy. Some analysts are expected that both of the Central Banks will lower level of interest rate, but here they were disappointed, because neither of them did not make any changes to monetary policy. If the Bank of Canada's decision in general was not a surprise, although it caused a strengthening of the Canadian dollar, the Bank of England's passivity after the comments of its chief Mark Carney was a surprise.

Whatever it is, the British pound, thanks to this, was able to keep a positive attitude and to test in a pair with the US dollar resistance at 1.3480. However, on the background of the termination of the United Kingdom of membership of the European Union and the possible consequences of this event, expect from the pound stable positive dynamics is not necessary, and its growth continue to be used for sales. Thus his prospects remain negative, and its decline back to the 28th figure is still quite real.

Since Brexit consequences can be negative for the EU, the negative look and the prospects for the single European currency. Undoubtedly, the failed attempt of military coup in Turkey in no way contributes to the strengthening of its positions, as well as the threat of a banking crisis in Italy. In these circumstances, attempts of euro to restore against the dollar is still used to open short positions, and at this point it is difficult to find a good reason for his purchases, IAFT traders we recommend to be cautious. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week was quite calm. In the absence of fresh drivers, and in anticipation of important data on employment and unemployment in the US, the major currency pairs was trading mostly in the range. The euro was under pressure from the US dollar, went down by end of the week to support in the area of the psychological level of 1.1000. Many analysts agree that the exit of Great Britain from the European Union will have negative consequences for the Eurozone, which determines the attitude of the single currency.

There is no doubt, that nothing good assumes the Brekzit for Great Britain itself. This event provoked a strong drop in the British pound right after occurrences of preliminary results of the referendum, and the decline continued last week, as a result the pound together with the US dollar has tested support at 1.2796. Under the conditions of overselling of pound, the bears failed to move below this level, but the bulls failed rise above 1.3047 as well. Long-term prospects for the British remain negative.

The main event of the last week, of course, was the publication of the employment report in the US non-agricultural sector. From these data, investors are not expecting any surprises, so unexpected increase of employment up to 287 ths. jobs, has caused a strong reaction of the market players, but it was short-lived. Growth of employment and unemployment at the level of 4.9% caused a strengthening of the US dollar against many competitors, which allowed it to finish the week on a positive note. Thus the demand for it may well continue this week, although market activity may remain low, IAFT traders should be cautious.BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

According to published last week data, economic growth in the first quarter of the USA reached 1.1%, exceeding, thus, predictive and previous values. However, these data were able to impress investors, especially that consumer spending remain low, as well as personal income. In general, these data had little impact on the dynamics of the US dollar, which last week was under slight pressure from the euro and the Japanese yen.

After the referendum in the UK, as a result of which, the country will not to be a member of the European Union, a further tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve was under a big question. The head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen in her comments confirmed the absence of haste in raising interest rate, which is also lowered expectations of market participants regarding the event. Thus enthusiasm for dollar purchases, in particular for euro, despite the Brexit, is not there, but at this moment, euro/dollar is in a consolidation phase, and the prospects for the pair remain negative.

While the euro gets some support thanks to the current account surplus, the British Pound prospects look much gloomier. Although the British actively protest against the country's exit from the EU, the chance to cancel the results of the referendum are quite low. Moreover, in his comments the head of the Bank of England has admitted lowering of interest rate in the foreseeable future.On the background of these factors, the pound will continue to decline, but IAFT traders should closely monitor what is happening in the UK, since politicians can still find ways to save the country's membership in the EU, and then we will see a large-scale getting rid of short positions in the pound. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week began with presentations by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi and the head of the US Federal Reserve, Janet Yellen. Overall, nothing newwe have not heard from them, except willingness to act in case of necessity on the part of the ECB and the lack of haste in further tightening of monetary policy by the FRS. Thus, these events had no significant effect on the currency market, participants of which were looking forward to the results of referendum in the UK.

On the background of the social polls which have showed the excess of opponents of the UK's exit of the European Union over the number of his supporters, the British pound and the euro enjoyed a certain demand, and the Japanese yen declined due to profit-taking on long positions in it. As a result, the pound was up against the US dollars up to 1.5016, the euro/dollar tested the resistance in the area of 1.1426, and the dollar/yen - the level of 106.81. On the eve of the referendum published macroeconomic statistics had no effect on the dynamics of these pairs.

The preliminary results of the referendum appeared in Friday's Asian session. According to these results, Britons still chose termination of the UK's membership in the EU, which caused quite logical massive decline in the British pound, the euro and the strengthening of the yen, especially in the cross-rates of these currencies. A lot of analysts are expecting relatively negative economic and political consequences from the "Brexit" not only for the UK but for the EU as well. On this background it is expected an increase of the volatility on the markets, where the pressure on the pound and the euro will persist, IAFT traders we recommend to be cautious. BlogLink

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Macroeconomic calendar last week was full of important events, among of which we should highlight the meeting of the American, Japanese, Swiss and British central banks. Operations Committee on the US FRS open market has decided to keep the interest rate unchanged. Since this decision was expected, market reaction was rather sluggish, and the US dollar, despite the comments of the head of FRS Janet Yellen, soon again was in demand in the pairs with the euro and the British pound.

Decisions of the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank do not make any changes in monetary policy, also was not a surprise for the participants of the currency market. On the one hand, macroeconomic statistics published by the UK does not give a compelling reason to increase by the British CB of interest rate in the foreseeable future. On the other hand, the result of the upcoming referendum, could become the country's exit from the European Union, which excludes any actions by central bank on the eve of this event.

But the inaction of the Bank of Japan was a surprise and provoked another wave of purchases of the Japanese yen, which is on the background of a possible "Brexit" was not deprived of attention from investors. However, in the second half of the week, after the murder of a British member of parliament, which led to the suspension of agitation events, speculators took profits on short positions in the euro and the pound, as well as on the long positions in the yen. This led to the growth of the euro/dollar, the pound/dollar and dollar/yen, but the risks of "Brexit" are remained and jumps of these currencies in different directions can continue, so before the referendum IAFT traders should refrain from opening the long-term strategic position. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

In his comments at the beginning of last week, the head of the US Federal Reserve Janet Yellen expressed concern about a weak report on non- agricultural sectore, and at the same time she said that should not be given too much importance to data for one month. However, the probability of the FRS increasing the interest rate at a meeting which will take place this week, significantly decreased, but, despite this, the US dollar has kept positive dynamics in the pairs with many of its competitors, with the exception of the Japanese yen.

The risks of the UK's exit from the European Union, base on the results of the upcoming referendum, increased the demand for assets-"shelters", which traditionally include gold, the Swiss franc, and, of course, the Japanese yen. The last one is in steady demand, on which background the dollar in tandem with it fell to the support in the area of 106.25, but with the beginning of the new trading week, broke i through and tested the level of 105.81. In general, from the Bank of Japan is not expected any actions this week, but further strengthening of the yen may force it to resort to additional stimulus measures.

As expected, the British pound remains vulnerable in eve of referendum in the UK. The high probability of "Brexit" and related to that event of negative consequences for the British economy has a negative impact on its dynamics, so it is decrease in tandem with the US dollar and cross-rates with other currencies continued, and this trend will continue at least until the referendum, which should be considered by the IAFT traders. Undoubtedly, the results of the poll can provoke bursts of volatility, but according to everything, the number of opponents of "Brexit" hardly will exceed the number of its supporters. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

On the eve of important events of the last week, market participants remained passive, as a result of which some currency pairs, including euro/dollar, were trading in a fairly narrow ranges. According to published data, the unemployment rate in the Eurozone remains high and consumer price inflation low, which kept the speculation about a possible further weakening by the European Central Bank of monetary policy, at the same time any actions from him at the meeting, which was held last week, were not expected.

Thus the preservation by the European Central Bank of interest rate and the volume of asset purchases was not a surprise for investors, so the euro response to the event was generally minor. In his comments at the press conference, the bank's president Mario Draghi did not give the slightest reason to expect a collapse of stimulus measures in the foreseeable future, and the euro came under pressure again, but its decline against the US dollar was limited by support in the area of 1.1140.

In the conditions of decrease of stock indexes the dollar with the beginning of last week, experienced the pressure from the Japanese yen, falling to support of 108.52. To support it, it failed, and released on Friday employment report in the US non-agricultural sector, which largely fell short of the predicted values, reaching the level of 38 thousand instead of expected 160 thousand of jobs. Thus, in spite of unemployment at the level of 4.7%, the dollar fell against the yen to 106.49, while the euro increased to 1.1373. Expectations of increasing by the FRS, in June, significantly fell , which will put pressure on the dollar, IAFT traders we recommend to be careful. However, its further losses could be limited. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

The main topics in the currency market are the possible actions of such central banks as the US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and Bank of England in the foreseeable future. Besides, the impact on it has and the upcoming referendum on the UK's exit from the European Union. According to exit polls, the probability of this event at the moment, looks rather low, which allowed the British pound to strengthen against most of its competitors, including against the US dollar.However, to exclude the country's exit from the EU no one takes a risk, so, the promotion of the pound/dollar up was limited by the resistance in the area of 1.4739.

For euro the situation is not the best. Published last week's economic data for Germany and the Eurozone was unable to provide support for the currency, and the low consumer price inflation gives cause for speculations on the further expansion by the ECB of stimulating measures. Fundamental factors justify its reduction, and technical allow us to assume testing by the euro/dollar of support in the area of 1.1059-1.1000. A break through of the last level will increase the pressure and open the way towards 1.0800. Despite the negative forecasts, it should still be reminded of the ability of the euro to "survive" in all circumstances.

In turn, the US dollar perspectives are getting better and better. In addition to comments from the Federal Reserve, where they allowed a rate hike at the next meeting, published in the the US housing market data last week were very strong, having supported the dollar. But the main event of the week, of course, was statement by the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen, in which, contrary to expectations, considered it appropriate to raise the rate in the upcoming months. Thus, the dollar finished the week higher against many of currencies, and its prospects have significantly improved. However, investors will continue to closely monitor the upcoming data on the US, which can adjust the expectations of an increase by the FRS of rate, which IAFT traders should be pay attention too. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

The single European currency last week showed a negative dynamics. Despite the relatively low market activity, it declined against the US dollar, breaking through the support at 1.1283 and reached the level of 1.1179. Published data showed that consumer price inflation in the Eurozone remains low, keeping thus a high probability of start by the European Central Bank in the near future of additional stimulus measures. This factor, weak statistical data, as well as the risks for the Eurozone connected with possible exit of Great Britain from the EU will soon put pressure on the single currency.

In turn, the US dollar, contrary to expectations, has received support from a "hard" protocol of the last meeting of the Federal Committee on the US FRS open market . It was noted that many members of the Committee do not exclude another rate hike at the next, which is in June meeting. The positive for the dollar were comments of the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York William Dudley, who also admitted the possibility of a rate hike at the next meeting. Thus, the long-term uptrend on the dollar may well be resumed, that in a large extent will depend on the upcoming US macroeconomic data.

Last week the British pound is also was in demand , helped by the published data on the UK labor market, that have exceeded analysts' forecasts. However, consumer price inflation in the country remains low, but with it, remains low and expectations of an early increase by the Bank of England of interest rate. In addition, the risks for the pound carries the upcoming referendum, so its growth continue to be used for sales. In the short-term pressure on the pound will remain, but the results of preliminary surveys of Britons and strong economic data will support him, that should be taken into account for IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Published last week macroeconomic statistics for the UK generally was not the best, but it did not have a particular influence on the dynamics of the British pound, which tried to keep from falling below the 44th figure in a pair with the US dollar. Attention of market participants focused on the results of the meeting of the Bank of England, from which most of analysts do not expect anything new, but the weak economic performance of the country and prospects for its exit from the European Union allowed us to assume a weakening of monetary policy.

However, as expected, the ECB left the interest rate and the volume of the asset purchase program unchanged. At first, the market responded positively to to the news , against which the pound/dollar tested resistance at 1.4530, but after testing this level, the pound was down again, ending the week near the support of 1.4340. Thus the prospects for the British pound remain negative, the pressure on him before the referendum can persist. Ease the pressure will able the results of surveys in the UK, if the number of opponents on exit from the EU will exceed the number of supporters.

For the EU to exit of Great Britain is also does not bode anything good, and this is one of the reasons for activation of the bears on the euro last week. His attempt to recover against the dollar was limited by the resistance in the area of 1.1446, from which, being under pressure, it is by the end of the week fell to the support of 1.1283. Further development of the upward correction now looks unlikely, pair may soon test a 12th figure, in this case the loss of the euro on the background of positive account surplus in the Eurozone can be limited, that should be taken into account by IAFT traders. BlogLinks

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IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Published last week economic data for the Eurozone and the countries within it, had no effect on the dynamics of the single currency. Its growth was stopped by Ofers from the 16th figure in tandem with the US dollar, being come under pressure a whole week of which, it gradually declined, reaching the support in the district of 1.1386. The inability of the euro/dollar to consolidate above 1.1465 and 1.1400 poses a threat to the formation of the top with a subsequent decrease in the direction of 1.1000. However, having consolidated above 1.1366, pair keeps the potential to return higher than 14 th figure.

Despite the fact that the FRS at the last meeting did not give any reason for purchases of the US dollar, investors in anticipation of the publication of important data on the labor market of the USA, took profits on short positions. Against this backdrop, the dollar showed a positive trend, not only against the euro but also against the Japanese yen, but its recovery has been modest and limited by the resistance in the area of 107.50. The inaction of the Bank of Japan, contrary to the expectations of the currency market participants, helped to keep demand for the yen.

According to the data released on Friday, the employment in the US non-agricultural sector in April was 160 thousand people, which is much lower than expected value. Besides that, the analysts forecasted decline in unemployment to 4.9%, but it remained at the level 5.0%. Thus, expectations of an increase by the FRS of interest rate at the next meeting again decreased, but profit-taking on short positions in the dollar continues and the dollar/yen was able to break through the resistance at 108.00-108.33, that allows to assume recovery of the pair in the direction of the 110th figure. This week is not planned publication of important data on the US, so this week may continue range trading that IAFT traders should be considered. BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week a number of events has occurred , that were able in some way affect the currency market. Published data on consumer inflation in Australia were much lower than the predicted values, that prompted speculations on lowering by the Reserve Bank of Australia of interest rate. On this backdrop, the Australian dollar was subjected to a large-scale selling, falling against the US dollar to support in the area of 0.7548. Fears of market participants were not in vain, because today the RBA lowered the rate and aussie/dollar is testing the support again. Pressure on the pair will remain.

Following the meeting that was held last week, the Federal Committee on the US FRS open market did not raise the interest rate again. This decision was expected, so market reaction was negligible, same as the fluctuations of the US dollar against many of its competitors. Not able to stir up the markets and the FRS's comments, as they were again impregnated with caution about the US economic prospects, and with them the prospects of further tightening of monetary policy.

The main event of the week was the meeting of the Bank of Japan. The rapid growth of the Japanese yen was the reason for the expectations of introduction of by Japanese central bank of additional stimulus measures, but contrary to this expectation, he did not take any actions. Thus, the Central Bank gave a "green light" to the strengthening of national currency, which, in fact, has happened. The dollar paired with it broke the important support in the area of 108th figure and now stubbornly approaching the 105th, on what IAFT traders should pay attention. From Japanese officials quite possible to expect negative for the yen rhetoric, but it is unlikely to be the reason for the reversal of the trend, as the currency intervention of the Bank of Japan at this point is unlikely. BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Published last week statistical data for the Eurozone in general were mixed. Data on the balance of the current account of the Eurozone have exceeded analysts' forecasts, but the February production in the construction sector has not reached the predicted values and the previous value was revised downward. However, macroeconomic statistics was of secondary importance for the participants of the currency market, because their attention was focused on the forthcoming meeting of the European Central Bank and the press conference of Mario Draghi.

In anticipation of these events in the euro against US dollar traded mixed, rising to first resistance in the area of 1.1380, and after the pair back to the testing 1.1283 the support. As analysts predicted, the ECB did not make any changes to the current monetary policy, leaving interest rate and the volume of asset purchases unchanged, and in his comments, the president of the bank has confirmed the absence of intent to continue lowering of rate, so the first reaction of the euro became its growth. However, caution of the president of the ECB about the possible exit of of Great Britain from the European Union has returned the sellers, and the pair completed the week down to 1.1220.

Thus, the ability of euro/dollar to continue the growth was in serious doubt, and break through at least a week will lead to a reduction to 1.1144-1.1059. Doubtful now looks and the ability of the Japanese yen to continue the growth, since at the end of the week, the dollar/yen broke through the resistance at the 110-th figure and rose to the level of 111.80. This was facilitated by rumors about of possible introduction by the Bank of Japan of negative deposit rate, which have provoked a fairly large-scale profit fixation on long positions in the yen. Prior to the announcement of the results of the meeting of the Japanese Central Bank, which will be held later this week, the pressure on it will remain, and further dynamics of the pair may depend on the results themselves, and that should be considered by the IAFT traders. BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Market activity remained quite low last week. The US dollar tried to develop an upward trend against most of its competitors, but to talk about any outstanding successes is not necessary. British pound in a pair with it was trading in different directions, where the growth shortly, swiched to decline. Support in the beginning of the week the pound has received from the inflation data from the UK, exceeded predicted values, but the probability of the country's exit from the European Union continues to pressure on it.

The Bank of England, as expected, kept interest rate and amount of asset purchases unchanged, and published protocol of the last meeting of the Committee on monetary policy showed the absence of votes in favor of a rate hike. Thus the prospects for the beginning of the tightening by the Bank of England of monetary policy remains very vague, which is also have a negative effect on the dynamics of the British pound. Due to some recovery he is in general came out of the oversold condition, that poses a threat to the resumption of the downward trend, but in the short term, expect its large scale fall is hardly worth it.

Despite the risks of a possible introduction by the Bank of Japan of additional stimulus measures, the recovery of the US dollar against the Japanese yen did not differ with stability and duration. By the end of the week the pair once again dropped, and the new one has begun a small gap down, which was triggered by the drop of oil prices and the fall of of stock indexes. The inability of the dollar to test and overcome the 110-th figurewith the following fall to the lows, increases the risk of breakout. However, at the current levels and lower, is possible the tightening of relevent rhetoric from Japanese officials, that will provoke bursts of volatility and rebound of the dollar/yen up, IAFT traders we recommend be extremely cautious.BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

According to the published last week data, the unemployment rate in the Eurozone remains high, and producer prices remain negative dynamics, not giving a reason to hope for the acceleration of inflationary pressures in the medium term. The service sector in the Eurozone is in a very good condition, and data on retail sales have exceeded the expectations of analysts. However, the euro was unable to continue the upward trend in the pair with the US dollar, had continued consolidation below the current highs.

Fluctuations of exchange rate of the pair occur in the range between resistance in the area of 1.1450 and support of 1.1340. Published last week minutes of the last meeting of the Federal Committee on the US FRS open market was rather "soft", which is actualy was expected by the currency market participants, thus turned out to provide support for the euro/dollar. But the fall of the euro in tandem with the Japanese yen have a deterrent effect on the dynamics of the pair.

The Japanese yen again in great demand, against which the US dollar in tandem with it broke through the psychological level of 110.00, which led to a reduction of the pair below the 108th figure. From the support in the area of 107.65 its getting buy out, but the recovery attempts are continue to attract interest in the sale. To IAFT traders we recommend to pay attention to the fact that the prospects for the US dollar look pretty bleak, its fall may continue. However, the Yen is showing signs of overbought, which increases the risks of an upward rebound. The reason for the profit-taking on long positions in the yen may be the growth of expectations of the expansion of stimulus measures by the Bank of Japan.BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

In anticipation of the publication of important data on the US labor market, which could shed some light on prospects for increasin by the US Federal Reserve of interest rate this year, to be exact - on the rate of increase, the US dollar last week, remained under pressure. Commentary from the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen lowered expectations of rate increase during the year, which had a negative impact on its dynamics. On this background, the euro all week confidently grew against the dollar, breaking the previous high and testing the resistance in the area of 1.1438.

Published data have shown growth of in the US unemployment rate up to 5.0% vs. 4.9% and growth of employment in non-agricultural sector up to 215 ths. people vs. 205 ths. Besides, have exceeded the forecasted value and the data on the average hourly wage. The US dollar reacted to the statistics with the growth against some of its competitors, but, as should be expected, its growth did not last long, as they do not change their expectations maximum of two increases FRS rate. Its representatives have repeatedly stated that in order to accelerate the pace of monetary policy tightening only the positive dynamics of the labor market is not enough.

Thus, the euro ended the week near the 14th figure, and the dollar/ yen - below 112 th. Despite the recovery of stock indexes, the demand for the Japanese yen remains, and a weekly closure below 112.00 increases the risks of testing and breaking of the lows at 110.66. Passage of this support and the psychological level of 110.00 will lead to a reduction to the area of the 108th figure. However, the differential of policies of the FRS and the Bank of Japan, as well as the positive dynamics of stock indexes, forcing with the high caution sell the pair at current levels or lower. Besides, look risky and the purchases of the euro/dollar at current levels, which, IAFT traders should pay attention to. BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Macroeconomic calendar of last week did not contain any significant events that may considerably affect the volatility of the currency market. Published statistics on France, Germany and the Eurozone generaly were good, but the single European currency has been all week under pressure, as well as in a pair with the US dollar and in cross-rates with other currencies, except the cross with the British pound. Probability of exit the UK from the European Union and quite weak data on consumer price inflation have contributed to the preservation of the negative attitude towards him.

For the euro, possible "Briexit" is also a negative factor, and the pressure on him has increased from the occurred last week terrorist attacks in Brussels. On this background the euro/dollar reduced reaching to the support in the area of 1.1144. Market activity on the eve of the Easter holidays was quite low, so the losses of euro were relatively small. If he will manages to consolidate above 1.1144-0.1059, the threat of assault of the 14th figure will remain high. The loss of this support will worsen its prospects.

According to published data, the volume of housing sales on the primary market in the USA has exceeded the analysts' forecasts, and the previous value was revised upwards. Not bad as well came out data on USA GDP data on personal spending, and fly in the ointment were data on orders for durable goods, but it failed to change the positive dynamics of the US dollar in pairs with the euro and the pound, as well as in tandem with the Japanese yen. Here, in the short term is possible testing of resistance in the area of 114th figure, and its break through will increase the ascending impulse that should be consider by the IAFT traders.

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Last week, were held a number of meetings of the world's central banks, in some extent, affected the currency market. The Bank of Japan decided to leave the interest rate and the volume of the asset purchase program unchanged. As was the probability that ECB will resort to the introduction of additional stimulus measures, market participants reacted to the decision of purchases of Japanese yen, against which the US dollar in tandem with it fell again, this time having tested a new minimum at the level of 110.66. It should be noted that stock indexes at the same time showed a positive trend.

Federal Committee on the US FRS open market did not raise interest rate, which coincided with forecasts of analysts. However, FRS comments appeared to be more "soft" than market participants were expected, lowering, thus, the expectations by the FRS increases of interest rate during this year. The market's reaction became a very large-scale sale of the dollar, increased pressure on the dollar/yen and returned the euro/dollar to the resistance in the area of 1.1342.

The Bank of England is also did not make any changes in its monetary policy, by leaving the interest rate and amount of the asset purchase program unchanged. At the same time in their comments the head of the central bank has highlighted the great probability of a rate hike later this year, allowing the British pound to recover together with dollar to the 45th figure. Thus, the past week has been very unsuccessful for the bulls on the dollar, but, taking into account the fundamental factors, the differential of the monetary policies of the above central banks, as well as a referendum on the exit of Great Britain from the EU, it can be assumed that further growth of competitors of the dollar can be fraught with difficulties on what the IAFT traders should pay attention to. BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

IAFT Weekly Economic Review

Published last week, macroeconomic statistics for the UK was quite weak, but the British pound, however, enjoyed a certain demand. As we have repeatedly warned, its overselling increases the risk of upward correction, which has been observed on the second week. As a result of the recovery, in the pound against the dollar by the end of last week has tested resistance at 1.4436, but weekly closure was below the 44th figure. In the short term, a drop below the psychological level of 1.4000 seems unlikely, but the chances of the UK leaving the EU, will continue to put pressure on the pound.

In turn, the very rapid growth of the Japanese yen on the background of the flight of investors from the "risky" assets led to its overbought, in tandem with the US dollar, as well as in cross-rates with other currencies. As a result, the dollar/ yen continued its consolidation in a range between support at 112.20 and resistance of 114.50. Stock indexes may still resume the decline that will support the yen, but this week will be held the meeting of the Bank of Japan and the Federal Committee on the US FRS open market, the results of which can significantly affect the dynamics of dollar/yen.

The most volatile currency of the last week turned to be the euro. The European Central Bank at the last meeting adopted a decision to lower interest rate on deposits and loans, as well as to increase by 20 billion. of euros the amount of monthly asset purchases. The scale of the introduced stimulus measures have exceeded expectations of market participants, which led to a sharp fall of of euros. However, the words of Mario Draghi that he sees no need for further lowering of rates, provoked a demand for the euro, against which he hit a number of important levels, it rose against the dollar up to 1.1218. Having consolidated above the brokenthrough highs, the euro could move higher in the direction of the 14th figure, but on the background of the differential of the monetary policies of the ECB and the FRS we can continue to talk about the risks of resumption of downtrend, that should be considered by the IAFT traders.BlogLinks

Best regards, AffiLinks

International Association of Forex Traders

Weekly Economic Review

Published last week economic data for Germany and the Eurozone generally was quite good. Retail sales, the index of business activity in the manufacturing and service sectors have exceeded analysts' forecasts. But unemployment in the Eurozone remains high and consumer price inflation, as well as the index of producer prices is low. On the background of these data expectations of introduction by the European Central Bank of additional stimulus measures have significantly increased, which, of course, negatively affected the dynamics of the single European currency.

Most of the week it is under pressure from the sellers, which led to its decline against the US dollar to support in the area of 1.0825. All attempts of bears to absorb the bids are placed below, were unsuccessful, and by the end of the week, the euro was able to recover up to resistance in the area of 1.0973 and then up to 1.1043. If the probability of further weakening by the ECB of monetary policy is very high, then the question of how far the central bank is ready to go with the purpose to unleash the inflation, analysts' opinions are divided, and in the conditions of uncertainty, profiteers preferred to take profits.

It should be noted that the euro/dollar ended the week on a positive note, despite the publication of quite strong employment report in the US non-agricultural sector, whose mark was significantly higher than analysts' forecasts, and the previous value was revised upwards. In addition, the unemployment rate remained at 4.9%. However, the fly in the ointment for the dollar was the data on hourly wages, that were worse than expected. And still, expect a significant reduction in the dollar this week, IAFT traders are should not to expect, and the euro, ahead of ECB meeting, announcements of the results may again come under pressure.BlogLinks

Best regards,

International Association of Forex Traders,AffiLinks

One Signup A Day Strategy 2.0 By Andre Zunde

How I Generated One Signup A Day For My Business

In 2008, I joined a leads generation system called LeadsLeap. At that time, this system generated an average of 1 signup a day for the business that I was promoting.

Soon I got to know the founder, Kenneth Koh, through a few support correspondences. He encouraged me to write a report to talk about my experience with LeadsLeap.

Hence, the 'One Signup A Day' report was born.

Time flies. Businesses rise and fall. Many popular leads generation systems back then are now no longer seen.

But LeadsLeap continues to flourish, and my network in LeadsLeap continues to grow, even though I haven't promoted it for years.

In this updated report 'One Signup A Day 2.0', I'll share with you what LeadsLeap has done for me over the years.

I'll also share with you my experience in getting clicks and how I convert clicks into signups.

At the end of this report, you will also learn how you can use this report to help you achieve the same result for your business.

What 'Was' LeadsLeap?

LeadsLeap was started in 2008 as a 10-level leads generation system. At that time, most leads generation system worked by allowing members to email their leads. Kenneth reckoned that such a system is not sustainable, hence he started LeadsLeap.

Instead of sending email promotions to leads, LeadsLeap members post Adword-like ad in the newsletters sent to their 10 levels of leads.

If you are wondering if LeadsLeap approach is better, check out the following comments that I've extracted from a poll conducted by the company.

Kenneth, your initial idea and methodology was like a lightbulb suddenly turned on, blacking out the other superfluous-list-email-mongers.

    Continue to offer value content to us and we will continue to share your site with our own clients.

    Myricula

    I don't think people realise the value of this system.

    100's of email in your inbox is not good.

    The best thing about LeadsLeap is that LeadsLeap help people to see our advertisements and as more people join LeadsLeap your ad will be seen by 1000's.

    So if these people signup on your webpage for your products you're gonna have them as customers or newsletter subscribers.

    Patrick Judge

    What attracted me to LeadsLeap was the system as it is now without the possibilities of unsolicited email which will not get read. I like it as it is.

    Andy T

    I like the system as is. I joined another leads generation program and I almost regret doing it. My email account everyday is inundated with emails from people about programs I don't have any interest in. I find I spend way too much time, everyday, clearing out my email box because of it. Thanks, but no thanks....Keep it like it is!

    Cassandra Reid

    Leave a good thing be. One of the major drawbacks of other lead generation programs is the "I'll email you and you email me" mentality. It is not as effective as having my ads being seen by more people at the same time.

    Jay Jenkins

    Your method attracted me to your system. I have a junk email account where I get emails from safelists, etc. I have no choice with the other systems. Most of that mail never gets read. There has to be a super headline to attract me. With this system I have the choice of two ads, one for my downline and the other for all members since I am a pro member. No more junk mail for me plus traffic that is targeted.

    Glenda Williams

From the comments above, you should have realized that many people hate receiving email advertisements. Most of them don't read those emails. It's just a matter of time before they quit such systems.

LeadsLeap's unique way of advertising allows members to view ads as and when they like, without them being bombarded with tons of emails.

The most important thing in any leads generation system is member retention. If we were to build leads, we need to make sure that our leads stay.

LeadsLeap has been doing a good job is retaining its members, including members in my network.

What Is LeadsLeap Now?

Over the years, LeadsLeap kept on evolving and improving. It now provides a lot more values to its members.

1) In addition to getting traffic from only our downlines, free members can now get traffic from different sources, within and beyond LeadsLeap network.

2) LeadsLeap is also constantly creating useful and innovative tools that members can use free.

You may be wondering, why does a lead generation system provide free tools?

Let me ask you, "Why does Google provide so many free services?"

User retention!

LeadsLeap's powerful tools keep members coming back to use them.

As a leads builder, it is very important. It means my downlines will stay in the system for a long time, and I can reach out to them for years.

3) The new LeadsLeap 2.0 even includes a revenue sharing scheme, where members can make money viewing ads and sending traffic to other ads.

Again, it is another good news to me.

Anything that can help people to make free money will easily attract lots of members.

With all the values that LeadsLeap is providing, I believe new members will soon realize that LeadsLeap is different from other 'make money programs' out there.

I'm excited to find out what LeadsLeap 2.0 can do to my network.

How Has LeadsLeap Worked For Me?

Never had I imagined my one-time promotion effort can result in so many free leads, totally on autopilot!

To be honest, I haven't been actively promoting LeadsLeap for many years. But my leads just keep building and I continue to get free traffic from my own network.

Looks like it's impossible to stop, which is great!

Not a LeadsLeap member yet? Join this powerful system here.

My Experience In Getting Clicks

I have tested numerous ads in LeadsLeap over the years and I would like to share with you my two cents' worth.

If the ad is good, I'll receive consistent clicks. But I do not know if an ad is good until I test it and see how many clicks I get.

So my advice to you is don't judge your ad. Roll it out and see how it performs.

Even an ad that gets lesser clicks is still good because these are targeted leads.

To get people to click your ad, you need a headline that grabs people's attention. You can do so by either giving them Pain or Hope.

An example of a headline that instils Pain is "Struggling for traffic?"

An example of a headline that instils Hope is "Get 1000 free leads now"

Then in the description you want to mention how you will solve the Pain and provide the painkiller. Or if it is Hope, you want to explain how or why that hope is achievable.

Getting people to click your ad is one challenge. Another challenge is converting the traffic.

Below I'll share with you my traffic conversion trick.

My Traffic Conversion Trick

First, I always make sure that my ad is relevant to my landing page.

Well, isn't that obvious?

If your ad is "Get 1000 free leads now" but your landing page is something else, it will only confuse the prospects.

Next tip is important.

I direct the traffic to a lead capture page so that I can follow up with them via email and/or phone as well as my auto responder follow-up.

I can't stress enough the need to have a professional hot converting sales funnel with the right follow up in place.

It is a big pain for people in the market place because many either do not have a sales funnel or they do not know the correct procedures for an effective sales funnel.

What Kind Of Ad Should You Advertise?

Another reason why LeadsLeap is generating good leads for me is because the offer I'm promoting is of interest to the members of LeadsLeap.

In general, I believe LeadsLeap members are seeking for 2 things:

1) They are looking for better ways to make money.

2) They are looking for better ways to get traffic.

If you have what they are looking for, you should get good response from LeadsLeap.

Another tip for you is it is better to promote something that is free. It could be a free trial, a free tour, a free signup etc. It is always easier to convert prospects into your list and follow up with them through autoresponders. You stand a better chance to convert them into paying customers.

When people saw my text ad through LeadsLeap, many of them signed up to take a free tour. The system then automatically does the selling and provides trainings to the new signups without me lifting a finger.

My Advice To Those Who've Just Started LeadsLeap

My advice is that you offer LeadsLeap to anyone who needs traffic to their website.

Basically everyone wants more traffic and being able to test out LeadsLeap for free, it's a no brainer. There is nothing to lose and a lot to gain.

After testing it out they have an option to ramp up their traffic with a small upgrade fee which pays for itself via the traffic they get.

But LeadsLeap has quite a few gold nuggets for Internet marketers which they can use to increase traffic. I call it a mini school where you can learn a lot.

Kenneth Koh, the founder of LeadsLeap, is one of the most diligent, genuine and helpful person who is always quick to reply in support and never lets you down if you ever need any question answered or any help at all.

LeadsLeap is now a proven stayer in the market and will be here for many years to come!

Not a member yet? Join LeadsLeap free now

How To Use This Report To Build Your Team At LeadsLeap

This is a candid report of my experience with LeadsLeap and I hope you find it useful.

To help you to build your leads at LeadsLeap, you may rebrand this report and give it away to other people.

If you have a list, you can just give it away to your list. You can also distribute your rebranded report in other traffic exchange networks and IM forums via your signature.

Everyone wants more traffic. This report shows them an easy way to get it.

Simply share this report and see your leads grow automatically and continuously for years, just like me!

If you are already a LeadsLeap member, get your customized report download link here.

Not a LeadsLeap member? Here is an overview of what LeadsLeap can do for you:

1) You can build 10-levels of leads that can 'really' grow exponentially, just like mine.

2) It is not a safelist type of system. Expect no junk email.

3) You can post free ads and get free traffic from within and beyond LeadsLeap network.

4) You will find top-notch tools that you can use to build and grow your online business.

5) You can make money viewing ads and sending traffic to other members' ads. (This is an excellent way to make money for newbies while learning the ropes.)

6) As I said, LeadsLeap is like a mini school where you can learn a lot. Moreover, they are paying you to learn!

Check out LeadsLeap.com now

Happy leads building… and money making!

To Your Success,

Weekly Economic Review

Macroeconomic calendar last week was not rich in important events that may have an affect on the currency market. Consumer inflation in Germany and the Eurozone remains low, that does not give any reason to expect from the European Central Bank to start tightening monetary policy. More, the statements of its representatives, statistical data, as well as the strengthening of the single European currency suggests the opposite, ie, introduction of additional stimulus measures. Thus, all attempts of euro to continue the recovery against the dollar were limited again.

During the week, the euro/dollar remained under pressure, having completed its fall below the 1.1000 to support area of 1.0911. In technical terms, the loss of 1.1000 is an alarming signal for the bulls and assumes fall of the pair towards 1.0800. Also, a negative factor for the euro should be considered the probable British exit from the European Union, which may adversely affect both the economic prospects of the United Kingdom, as well as on the economies of countries in the EU. Surely, in these conditions, expect a stable recovery of the euro/dollar is hardly worth it.

As, of course, and the recovery of the British pound, which, falling against the dollar reached fresh lows at the level of 1.3853. Statements in support of the Mayor of London of "Briexit" deprived the pound/dollar the chance of recovery, obtained thanks to finding by the British prime minister a compromise with the EU. The pair may continue to fall in the direction of the 38th figure, but the bounces towards the psychological level of 1.4000 should not be excluded. In case of strong statistical data on the UK, is possible a quite massive profit fixation, that should be considered by the IAFT traders.

Best regards,

International Association of Forex Traders
BlogLink

Weekly Economic Review

The British pound remained out of favor with investors last week. On the background of the risks of the UK is getting out of the European Union, the activity of the sellers remained, and published macroeconomic statistics for the UK was unable to provide support for it. Consumer inflation, as well as the producer price index, remained at a low level, which does not give any reasons to expect an increase by the Bank of England of interest rate in the foreseeable future. On stronger than was expected data on retail sales was an attempt of the pound to increase against a number of competitors, but the deflator ofretail prices for the last month, decreased in annual basis, and it cooled off the ardor of bulls.

At the end of the week it was reported that British Prime Minister reached an agreement with the EU, and on favorable terms for the UK. On this background, the pound ended the week with the growth in the area of the 44th figure, but with the start of trading after the weekend was again sold. The reason for the sale was the news that the Mayor of London, which enjoys popularity among Brits, will play for the country's exit from the EU. Thus, the pressure on the pound this week may continue, but the fact that according to results of polls, most Brits are still opposed to the country's exit from the EU, will limit the potential for reducing of the pound.

One of the important events of the last week was the publication of the consumer inflation data in the US. These data exceed the estimates, showing some acceleration in inflationary pressure, but to return the demand for the US dollar against the Japanese yen, these data have failed. Under the conditions of falling stock indexes, the pair finished the week down to the support in the area of 112.30, that indicates the continuing high risks of testing the lows at 110.98. However, IAFT traders are should note that the growth of oil prices will support the stock market, and this, in turn, will help the dollar/yen to restore. IAFT Traders

Best regards,

International Association of Forex Traders
BlogLinks